U.S. Outlook: Consumers stay home in January

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
graph of consumer spending

Bad weather, lackluster income growth, and reduced personal savings led to a January consumer spending strike.

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Instant Analysis: January jobs report

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
delivery_guy

It looks to me like another weather-impacted payroll survey.  The report’s details are not as distressing as the headline shortfall.

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U.S. Outlook: Wicked weather, Fed taper, and global tremors

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
weathermap

An unusual brew of factors — including cold weather — is clouding the near-term outlook for the U.S. economy this week.

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U.S. Outlook: Jump in inventories nicks Q1 GDP forecast

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
econ_GDP_graph

The recent good news about GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2013 contained a surprise that has lowered my forecast for Q1 growth this year. Below is a brief summary of my weekly analysis, followed by a link to the full U.S. Outlook report, delivered on Jan. 31, 2014. Key observations: Q4 rapid inventory […]

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