All Posts Tagged: Alan Greenspan

U.S. Outlook: What we expect from the Federal Reserve next week

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist

Amid much anticipation, we expect the FOMC to vote next Wednesday to raise the Fed funds target rate range another quarter percentage point to between 1.25% and 1.50%.

Graph showing rise in total net worth of households.This would be the third such increase this year.

For more on this, see highlights of my report below, followed by a link to the full U.S. Outlook, delivered on Dec. 8.

Key observations:
  • The Federal Reserve reported that U.S. household net worth hit an all-time high of almost $97 trillion.
  • The median forecast from the Fed is likely to remain at three quarter-point rate hikes for next year.
  • Our view is that two additional quarter-point rate hikes next year is actually more likely.
  • Janet Yellen might want to sneak in a short public parting message to help define her legacy as Fed chair.

 

Read my full report.

 

 

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U.S. Outlook: Are confidence gains becoming delusional?

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
Graph showing recent rise in consumer confidence

Alan Greenspan coined the phrase “irrational exuberance” to describe the disconnect between stock market gains and economic fundamentals in the late 1990s. Is it time to use the phrase again? For more on this, see highlights of my report below, followed by a link to the full U.S. Outlook, delivered on March 31. Key observations: […]

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Interest Rates 101: What businesses may expect from a hike

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
African American woman crouching against a wall in office, staring thoughtfully at the whiteboard across from her that is filled with multi-colored notes.

Businesses might have to look at other sources of financing than just borrowing.

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