All Posts Tagged: Fed

U.S. Outlook: Global economy firing on all cylinders

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist

One of the reasons the FOMC felt comfortable going ahead with the balance sheet normalization plan and signaling another rate hike before the end of the year was the significant progress that has been made on global economic growth and the improving global economic outlook for 2018.

Graph showing growth in several major economies around the world.The global economy is now more or less firing on all cylinders.

For more on this, see highlights of my report below, followed by a link to the full U.S. Outlook, delivered on Sept. 22.

Key observations:

  • Eurozone and U.K. economic strength have been some of the biggest surprises for the global economic outlook this year.
  • The Bank of England could be the next major central bank to start raising interest rates, perhaps as soon as November.
  • Japan’s economy is turning the corner. It is likely to continue to grow above trend over the next few years.
  • China’s hard landing fears have dissipated this year.

 

Click here to read my full report.

 

Read More ›

Instant Analysis: ‘Doves cry’ in the aftermath of the June FOMC statement

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
Closeup on the eagle sculpture near top of the Federal Reserve building in Washington.

The FOMC failed to blink in the face of widespread market skepticism about the Fed’s projected fed funds rate path as it increased the fed funds target range by a quarter percentage point today to between 1.0 and 1.25%.

Read More ›

U.S. Outlook: Job growth slips in March

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
Graph showing parallel declines in unemployment rate and U6 unemployment rate.

While the headline number was a disappointment, the details in the report revealed underlying labor market strength and momentum.

Read More ›

Instant Analysis: Fed raises rates at March meeting

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
Close up of the Federal Reserve building with the eagle statue

The Federal Reserve raised the fed funds target rate range today by a quarter percentage point to 0.75 to 1.00% from 0.50 to 0.75%, as expected. There was one dissent in the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision, as Neel Kashkari preferred to maintain the existing target range for the Fed funds rate. The move […]

Read More ›

U.S. Outlook: Inflation runs hot. Will the Fed?

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
Graph showing year over year change in consumer inflation trends

Another Fed rate hike could come sooner rather than later.

Read More ›