All Posts Tagged: interest rates

U.S. Outlook: Global economy firing on all cylinders

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist

One of the reasons the FOMC felt comfortable going ahead with the balance sheet normalization plan and signaling another rate hike before the end of the year was the significant progress that has been made on global economic growth and the improving global economic outlook for 2018.

Graph showing growth in several major economies around the world.The global economy is now more or less firing on all cylinders.

For more on this, see highlights of my report below, followed by a link to the full U.S. Outlook, delivered on Sept. 22.

Key observations:

  • Eurozone and U.K. economic strength have been some of the biggest surprises for the global economic outlook this year.
  • The Bank of England could be the next major central bank to start raising interest rates, perhaps as soon as November.
  • Japan’s economy is turning the corner. It is likely to continue to grow above trend over the next few years.
  • China’s hard landing fears have dissipated this year.

 

Click here to read my full report.

 

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Instant Analysis: FOMC announces balance sheet unwind will begin in October

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
View of a eagle statue on Federal Reserve building in DC

As was widely telegraphed before the meeting, the committee decided to go ahead with the balance sheet normalization program in October.

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U.S. Outlook: Biggest FOMC meeting of the year on tap

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
Graph showing GDP forecasts as affected by recent hurricanes.

We are calling this the biggest FOMC meeting of the year because of the impact it could have on interest rate and inflation expectations into 2018 and beyond.

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Investment Insights: The Bermuda shuffle

Wade Balliet
Posted by Wade Balliet
Investment Strategy
Hurricane damage showing a tree on the ground, ripped at the roots

With the dissipation of most of the storm risk, the case for safe-haven assets has lost some steam in the current environment.

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U.S. Outlook: Job report increases doubts about Fed rate hike path

Scott Anderson
Chief Economist
Graph showing recent trend in unemployment rate (monthly)

The August jobs report came in on the weak side, raising concerns that the Fed’s gradual tightening path could become glacial in the year ahead.

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